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G.2The Stall P&L by Archetype

Six stalls, every line. The typical tendered stall (won at NEA's open tender, usually by the highest bid) sells $17,667 a month and keeps $3,169, or $9.69 an hour over 327 hours, against the $11.64 the Progressive Wage (the pay ladder the Government sets for lower-wage jobs) sets for the assistant beside him. John, cooking alone, keeps $2,982; Ah Kow, with three assistants and a queue, keeps $12,807.

G.2.1A month and a year

Each column is the Follow-the-Plate model's profit and loss for one stall at its base inputs (G.1.2, The stall inputs). "Income and savings" adds Workfare (the Government's top-up for low-wage workers) and the retirement match to the net and takes off tax; "spendable cash" also takes off MediSave (the part of CPF that pays for health care) and keeps only Workfare's cash part. All lines are Derived model outputs. g2-pnl.csv

G.2 The Stall P&L by Archetype: table 1
A monthNEA, tenderedNEA, subsidisedHDB coffeeshopOperator-runJohnAh Kow
Sales: what diners pay$17,667$16,232$20,939$17,315$11,891$45,300
Ingredients$7,862$7,223$9,318$7,884$5,589$20,158
Rent$1,250$290$3,400$1,700$1,250$1,250
Turnover rent$0$0$0$0$0$0
Centre fees$720$720$1,000$1,050$720$720
Assistants' wages$2,920$2,920$2,920$2,920$0$7,800
Utilities$1,000$1,000$1,000$1,000$800$1,600
Delivery commission$424$390$503$416$285$408
Payment fees$22$20$26$22$15$57
Operator app discount$0$0$0$346$0$0
Other running costs$300$300$300$420$250$500
Hawker's net (profit)$3,169$3,369$2,472$1,557$2,982$12,807
MediSave$333$354$260$163$268$840
Income tax$10$14$0$0$21$858
Workfare$0$0$136$259$3$0
Income and savings$3,159$3,356$2,609$1,816$2,964$11,950
Spendable cash$2,826$3,002$2,226$1,419$2,693$11,110
Hours worked327327327327277315
Net an hour$9.69$10.30$7.56$4.76$10.77$40.71
G.2 The Stall P&L by Archetype: table 2
A yearNEA, tenderedNEA, subsidisedHDB coffeeshopOperator-runJohnAh Kow
Sales: what diners pay$212,004$194,790$251,264$207,776$142,695$543,600
Ingredients$94,342$86,682$111,812$94,611$67,067$241,902
Rent$15,000$3,480$40,800$20,400$15,000$15,000
Turnover rent$0$0$0$0$0$0
Centre fees$8,640$8,640$12,000$12,600$8,640$8,640
Assistants' wages$35,040$35,040$35,040$35,040$0$93,600
Utilities$12,000$12,000$12,000$12,000$9,600$19,200
Delivery commission$5,088$4,675$6,030$4,987$3,425$4,892
Payment fees$265$243$314$260$178$680
Operator app discount$0$0$0$4,156$0$0
Other running costs$3,600$3,600$3,600$5,040$3,000$6,000
Hawker's net (profit)$38,029$40,430$29,667$18,684$35,785$153,686
MediSave$3,993$4,245$3,115$1,962$3,221$10,080
Income tax$121$164$0$0$255$10,291
Workfare$0$0$1,638$3,104$40$0
Income and savings$37,908$40,266$31,305$21,787$35,570$143,395
Spendable cash$33,915$36,021$26,716$17,032$32,314$133,315
Hours worked3,9263,9263,9263,9263,3223,775

G.2.2What a closed stall costs

A stall shut for illness loses a day's sales, but its rent, fees, assistant and utilities run on. At the typical tendered stall one day costs the hawker $372; 36 days, six weeks, cost $13,388, 35% of the year's net; 100 days cost $37,188. The model's own grid is 1, 18, 36, 130 days (C, §2.9, The Hawker Security Package); this table adds 5, 10 and 100 and agrees with it where they meet. "Rent waived" applies NEA's discretion to waive the rent of the closed days; "with a Corps cook" covers every closed day at the $40 medical co-pay. g2-illness.csv

G.2 The Stall P&L by Archetype: table 3
Days closedNet lostA dayOf the year's netRent waivedA dayWith a Corps cook
1$372$3721.0%$324$324$40
5$1,859$3724.9%$1,619$324$200
10$3,719$3729.8%$3,238$324$400
36$13,388$37235.2%$11,657$324$1,440
100$37,188$37297.8%$32,381$324$4,000
G.2 The Stall P&L by Archetype: table 4
Lost a day closed1 day5 days10 days36 days100 days
NEA, tendered$372$372$372$372$372
NEA, subsidised$342$342$342$342$342
HDB coffeeshop$441$441$441$441$441
Operator-run$344$344$344$344$344
John$238$238$238$238$238
Ah Kow$981$981$981$981$981

The queue is assumed to come back after the illness; if regulars drift away, the loss is larger (F.2, Limits, Assumptions and How This Enters the Plan). A single-handed stall loses less a day because it pays no assistant, but it has no one to keep it open.

G.2.3The newcomer's rent path, three bids

Under NEA's renewal rule of November 2024 a newcomer pays the winning bid for three years, then a rent halfway between the bid and NEA's assessed market rent (its valuation) for the next three, and the valuation itself only from the seventh year. NEA (National Environment Agency, which runs the public hawker centres) publishes neither a stall's valuation nor every bid. So we use the median (the middle figure: half are above it, half below) winning bids NEA published for 2022 and 2023 Official and our own median of NEA's list for January to May 2026 Derived; the valuations of $1,250 and $1,450 are illustrations. A newcomer who wins at the 2023 bid, at a valuation of $1,250, pays $29,700 more over his first six years than if the rent had been the valuation all along. g2-newcomer.csv

G.2 The Stall P&L by Archetype: table 5
BidBidValuationYears 4–6$/h, Y1–3$/h, Y4–6$/h, Y7 onAbove valuation, 6 yrs
2022$2,000O$1,250$1,625$7.39$8.54$9.69$40,500
2022$2,000O$1,450$1,725$7.39$8.23$9.08$29,700
2023$1,800O$1,250$1,525$8.01$8.85$9.69$29,700
2023$1,800O$1,450$1,625$8.01$8.54$9.08$18,900
2026$1,950D$1,250$1,600$7.55$8.62$9.69$37,800
2026$1,950D$1,450$1,700$7.55$8.31$9.08$27,000

This is a working paper for public discussion. Every number in it is an invitation to improve it. Corrections and better data are welcome.