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Proposals · Part VII · Budget, endowment and the ask

Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1

The stallholder retirement match (optional ask, costed and left for later)

Optional ask: Government matches the CPF top-ups of stallholders under 55, up to $1,200 a year; $4.1M (base) or $7.9M (stretch); left for later.

The Protection Floor (§2.11) proposes that someone pays into the hawker's own CPF retirement savings, as a platform now does for a rider. The plan costs the match but does not yet ask for it. It is for stallholders under 55: from 55 the Matched Retirement Savings Scheme already matches cash top-ups, up to $2,000 a year, so the plan helps hawkers claim it rather than paying twice. The base case is a match of up to $1,200 a year for each public-centre stallholder under 55 (about 6,900 stalls in all, by our estimate): up to about $4.1M a year, a ceiling that assumes every one takes it up in full. The stretch case reaches every stallholder under 55, coffeeshops and food courts included, at 70% take-up, with shared hospital-cash cover for stallholders of every age: about $7.9M a year. No match is paid in Years 1–3, not even at the Lighthouses; it starts only if and when adopted, rolls out nationally from Year 4 and reaches full take-up in Year 7. Three sources could meet part of the cost outside the Budget: gifts set aside (half of the continuing gifts the programme does not need), 40% of Heritage Plate licence income, and the tender rent HDB forgoes, which is HDB's contribution, phases in as coffeeshops are re-tendered and counts only for the stretch. Over Years 4–10 about $10.9M is left unpaid for the base and about $28.6M for the stretch with HDB's contribution (about $33.2M without it). At three centres about two-thirds of the continuing gifts is spent, so about $0.7M a year can be set aside; with half set aside the corpus ends Year 20 at about 106% of target, against about 133% with none. The endowment cannot carry the match alone: at a 3.5% draw the base would need a corpus of about $120M, three times the $40M target (§7.9).

Who pays

BUILDS ON

What it costs

Base up to ≈$4.1M/yr SGD · a year

(every public-centre stallholder under 55 taking it up); stretch ≈$7.9M/yr (all stallholders under 55 at 70% take-up, with shared hospital-cash cover)

What it builds on

Matched Retirement Savings from 55, which the plan helps hawkers claim; the contribution a platform operator makes for a rider (Hawkers and Social Protection, C.6, §2.11.1, §2.11.2).

The ask of Government

Decision
Stallholder retirement match – Government matches stallholders' own CPF top-ups, up to $1,200 a year, under 55; from 55, hawkers are helped to claim the existing Matched Retirement Savings Scheme, if they pass its income and home tests (§2.11.1 and §2.11.2); decision left for later (Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1)
Instrument
Budget line, administered by CPF Board and MOM
Fiscal cost
Base up to ≈$4.1M/yr (every public-centre stallholder under 55 taking it up); stretch ≈$7.9M/yr (all stallholders under 55 at 70% take-up, with shared hospital-cash cover); less what giving, Heritage Plate licences and HDB's contribution cover
What it buys
Parity with the platform worker: someone shares the cost of the cook's retirement, as a platform now does for riders born in or after 1995 and for older riders who opt in. "The young rider got a CPF share. Now so does the cook."

From §7.7, Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1.

Who gains

Hawkers
Parity with the platform worker: someone shares the cost of the cook's retirement (§7.7).
Government
A reversible decision, and an optional one: the plan asks for it only if Government later chooses (§7.7).

Where the library discusses it

Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1 · §7.7 · §7.6 · the Budget Book, B.6.1 · §7.9 · §5.5 · §2.4 · §2.11.1 · §2.11.2 · Follow the Plate, D.7.4 · Follow the Plate, D.7.5 · the Budget Book, B.9.5

Note: The same proposal as the retirement match inside the Hawker Protection Floor, at the same two scopes (Follow the Plate, D.7.5); this record is the plan's own costing. The match is for stallholders under 55 and both costs are ceilings: the median hawker is 60, so fewer than half are under 55, and the model counts 50%. The table in Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1 gives the match by year and the shortfall after gifts set aside, Heritage Plate licences (40%), a possible Government match on licence income in the first three years (an idea, not an ask) and, for the stretch only, HDB's forgone tender rent (phased in as coffeeshops are re-tendered): Years 4–10 combined, base $10.9M, stretch $28.6M with HDB. Without HDB the stretch shortfall is about $33.2M (Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1 and the Budget Book, B.9.5's table). the Budget Book (B.9.5) shows the scenarios behind it, and what the match would cost at every age, with no hand-off to the existing scheme: $8.28M (base) and $14.08M (stretch) a year, $35.3M and $68.4M short over Years 4–10 ($59.1M with HDB). The OPTIONAL chip sits on Hawkers and Social Protection, C.8.1 in the paper; content/ attributes it to §7.6.

Related proposals

Sources

This is a working paper for public discussion. Every number in it is an invitation to improve it. Corrections and better data are welcome.