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D.9Rent Bands & Ballot

D.9 Rent Bands & Ballot: table 1
DialsWhere each rent band sits against NEA's three rent figures, read as one range: about $1,250 a month (the median rent of NEA's tendered stalls, and the median market rent NEA's valuers last gave Parliament); $1,450 (the 2025 median at centres like the operator-run ones); and $1,800 (the 2023 median winning bid) (the Plan, §1.3, D.14). How many centres run the pilot: three, the two Lighthouses and Tekka, and five at most before the gate (the Plan, §6.3, the Budget Book, B.7). Which centres: any of the 123 government centres, taken in order of how many heritage-worthy stalls they are expected to hold (first estimated in Year 0, then counted from the Regulars' List), so that every community's cooking is covered; Geylang Serai is included from the start (the Plan, §6.3). Beside the rent, the table-cleaning fee subsidy: $200 a month at the pilot centres, paid by the Government as the main landlord and tested by re-tendering the centres' cleaning contracts; it lets a stall pay $200 more rent, dollar for dollar (D.14).
What breaks firstLivability. A fair rent is not yet a livable one: even Band B's $1,150 a month is above $610, the rent above which a typical tendered hawker earns less than his assistant (D.14; D.4.1). The cost grows as each year's entrants join, by about $1.0M a year (D.7.1).
Where it worksOnly where the state is the landlord. Rent bands are an almost pure transfer from the state as landlord to the new entrant, leverage 0.83 (D.7.1). Where a market sets the rent, support should be attached to the person (D.1, D.7.2).
FallbackThe pilot's only cost to the Government is the extra rent that tenders at the pilot centres might have raised: small, capped and known in advance (D.14, the Budget Book, B.7).
The fee subsidy's costWhat it is. A Government subsidy towards a contractor's price, not rent a landlord gives up. It follows NEA's temporary $200 a month support (September 2026 to February 2027) at the pilot centres. · Who runs the re-tender. In 2021 the Minister said "We do not anticipate any reduction in cleaning costs to stallholders" after tray return; the pilot tests that by re-tendering the cleaning contracts for the work left after tray return, and any saving the new contracts find comes off the subsidy. The re-tender is run by whoever holds the contract: at a Town Council centre, such as Chinatown Complex or Tekka, the hawkers' association manages table cleaning for the stallholders (NEA tender notices, 2022 and 2024), with NEA convening. · Why the saving may be nil. Fees there were flat before GST from 2022 to 2024 while the cleaners' Progressive Wage rose by a third, so the saving may be nil. At an operator-run centre the operator only passes the fee on and may not profit from it, so any saving there comes from re-pricing the contract, not from the operator's share. · What it costs. At the three pilot centres, 408 stalls in all, it costs up to about $0.98M a year, $1.63M at five. Nationally, a later decision once the evaluator has shown its effect, it would be up to about $16.6M a year across the 6,900 stalls in public centres (D.14, the Budget Book, B.7; D.7.4).

This is a working paper for public discussion. Every number in it is an invitation to improve it. Corrections and better data are welcome.